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FACT AND COMMENT
by Steve Forbes
10.13.03, 12:00 AM ET
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Making Social Security a Money
Machine
"Saving
social security" will be a sizzling campaign issue next year.
Instead of trying to preserve FDR's brainchild, why not transform it
into something that enriches the economy and significantly expands
retirement benefits? The Bush Administration will probably propose,
as it has in the past, allowing workers to allocate a small portion
of their Social Security tax to their own personal savings accounts.
Democrats will bellow that this will destroy the program, and they
will advocate more taxes on the "rich."
Since Republicans are going to get hammered for
even considering changing the current on-its-way-to-going-broke
system, they might as well be bold instead of tentative. They should
advocate an exciting, whole-hog alternative to today's system,
thereby making the reform effort worth the political heat.
The problems
with Social Security are now largely known--the declining number of
workers versus retirees, the fiscal irresponsibility of
pay-as-you-go (it's the public-sector equivalent of a private
pension system with no reserves, which, of course, is illegal).
Experts argue about when exactly the system will begin to pay out
more than it takes in. But no one's arguing that Social Security
won't eventually self-destruct, unless it's infused with funds from
massive tax increases or, equally unpleasant, scaled down by
reductions in benefits.
The White
House and the GOP should emphasize that Americans could choose to
stay with the old plan or go with the new. But instead of permitting
workers to put only 2% to 4% of their payroll tax into personal
accounts, as the Administration proposed in 2001, why not increase
that to 8% or more? Make the contribution significant from the
start.
Critics will
cry that this will increase the national debt. Not really. The
obligation already exists. The unfunded liability of Social Security
is now almost $12 trillion, even though that number is not
officially part of the national debt. Any borrowings necessary to
finance the transition could be treated like a mortgage: As more and
more people under the old system pass away, a growing portion of the
payroll tax that had been devoted to their benefits could gradually
be redirected to paying down the borrowings. Within 30 years the
obligations could be paid off. Instead of having a pension system
that's a fiscal drain, we would have one that's a capital creator.
Even those earning minimum wage would accumulate a meaningful nest
egg by the end of their work lives.
A new system
would have people focusing on the future, not just on the present,
from an early age. Millions of people would be motivated to learn
more about money and how to preserve and grow it. You, not
Washington politicians, could choose your retirement age. No wonder
pro-government tax-and-spend liberals hate this idea.
Whatever the
particulars of the new system are, it should have these basic
components:
** Guaranteed
minimum monthly payments adjusted for inflation, regardless of how
your account performs. This would remove a lot of
what-if-the-financial-world-collapses-just-as-I-retire angst.
** A small
portion of the payroll tax should go toward disability and life
insurance, which would provide more generous benefits than similar
components do in the current Social Security scheme.
** People
should be able to choose from an array of investments (including
those with no participation in the stock market): diversified mutual
funds that meet certain conservative financial criteria, including
low expenses; fixed-rate insurance contracts; U.S. government bonds;
government-insured bank CDs; and the like. Government workers in
Galveston, Tex., for example, opted out of Social Security two
decades ago, and their money went into fixed-income instruments
only. Even so, their retirement benefits are significantly higher
than those they'd have received had they stayed in Social Security.
You should not be able to put money into individual
securities (like Enron) or into such exotic alternatives as diamond
mines in Uzbekistan.
** Benefits
should be exempt from income tax.
** Married
couples' contributions should be split from the get-go, i.e., half
of the husband's contribution should go into the wife's account and,
if she also works, vice versa. That way, if there is a divorce,
there'll be no fighting over those private accounts.
Bill Shipman,
chairman of CarriageOaks Partners and co-chairman of the Cato
Project on Social Security Choice and who also helps the Heritage
Foundation and others promote reform, has done extensive work
demonstrating that such a system can be created with extremely low
administrative costs. He proposes a three-pronged approach. At the
first level, workers' money would be invested in a collective money
market fund similar to the ones the mutual funds industry offers
today. Then the participants would have four choices--among three
balanced funds and a money market account. The balanced funds would
be diversified portfolios that combine stocks, bonds and cash. One
such fund that might appeal to younger workers would be geared
toward equities; another, appealing to those closer to retirement,
would be geared toward bonds. After several years--the time needed
to build up the assets to realize the economies of scale--workers
would have the opportunity to allocate their funds among any
qualified investment accounts that met reasonable and specific
standards.
The reason all
money would initially go into money market accounts is a largely
unknown peculiarity in the way the feds now keep Social Security
records: Employers send in Social Security taxes in lump sums
periodically throughout the year. Incredibly, only in the following
year are those lump sums allocated to specific individuals'
accounts.
There is
nothing to be gained--and fantastic opportunities to be lost--by the
Administration's being timid.
William Shipman
Biography
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